War is politics by other means, so I expect we'll see a lot more politicking, economicking, revolutioning, and soft power-ing in the future. This stuff just seems too costly unless you can stoke an existing fire in the form of existing dissatisfaction with the regime you don't like.
Of course, when the worst comes, you still have to be ready to push your little army pieces to the center of the table and say "all in".
Excellent piece. Very informative and thought out